Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 23/09, 23:30
Prediction: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Team pages: Francisco Comesana · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Comesana
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Comesana
6-4 (W-L)
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Comesana 1497 · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1649
| Francisco Comesana | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1497 vs 1649).
- Francisco Comesana dominates on serve: 6 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Francisco Comesana makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Comesana | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13 | 12.6-5.9 |
| Aces | 6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-23 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo?
Our model gives 53% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.