Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 24/09, 17:00
Prediction: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
5-5 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
1–1
Valerio Aboian
(2 last)
- 02 Dec2-0 14-12W
- 25 Nov0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1519 · Valerio Aboian 1592
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerio Aboian (rating 1519 vs 1592).
- Valerio Aboian is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.7 | 13.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1 – 1 Valerio Aboian (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1–1 Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/23 ITF M15 Santa Cruz | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/11/23 ITF M15 Santa Cruz | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Julian Cundom Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 56% to Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.