Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 24/09, 15:00
Prediction: Facundo Mena vs Guido Ivan Justo
Team pages: Facundo Mena · Guido Ivan Justo
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Mena
Guido Ivan Justo
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Mena
7-3 (W-L)
Guido Ivan Justo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Facundo Mena
2–0
Guido Ivan Justo
(2 last)
- 05 Aug2-0 12-4W
- 06 Jun2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Mena 1612 · Guido Ivan Justo 1510
| Facundo Mena | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Mena (rating 1612 vs 1510).
- Facundo Mena is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Facundo Mena 2–0 Guido Ivan Justo (2).
Statistics
| Facundo Mena | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.6 | 10.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Facundo Mena 2 – 0 Guido Ivan Justo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Mena 2–0 Guido Ivan Justo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/24 Challenger Bogota | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06/24 Challenger Santa Fe | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Mena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Renzo Olivo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Guido Ivan Justo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Mena vs Guido Ivan Justo?
Our model gives 61% to Facundo Mena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.