Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 23/09, 08:30
Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Federico Cina
Team pages: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikoloz Basilashvili
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Cina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1449 · Federico Cina 1506
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Cina (rating 1449 vs 1506).
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.7 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 31.8% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Hanlei Lu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kaichi Uchida ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Giustino ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 60% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.