Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 23/09, 06:00
Prediction: Alexandre Muller vs Petr Bar Biryukov
Team pages: Alexandre Muller · Petr Bar Biryukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Muller
Petr Bar Biryukov
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Muller
4-6 (W-L)
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Muller 1502 · Petr Bar Biryukov 1502
| Alexandre Muller | Petr Bar Biryukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexandre Muller | Petr Bar Biryukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.4 | 11.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Luka Pavlovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Ziga Sesko Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Laslo Djere US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 29/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Andre Ilagan ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 01/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Muller vs Petr Bar Biryukov?
Our model gives 62% to Alexandre Muller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.