Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 22/09, 18:00
Prediction: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
4-6 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
1–0
Valerio Aboian
(1 last)
- 24 Apr2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1506 · Valerio Aboian 1586
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerio Aboian (rating 1506 vs 1586).
- Valerio Aboian is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1–0 Valerio Aboian (1).
Statistics
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.2 | 13.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1 – 0 Valerio Aboian (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1–0 Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/24 Challenger Concepcion | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Guy Den Ouden US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlos Taberner Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Julian Cundom Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 51% to Genaro Alberto Olivieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.