Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 22/09, 15:00
Prediction: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Team pages: Carlos Maria Zarate · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Maria Zarate
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Maria Zarate
8-2 (W-L)
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carlos Maria Zarate
0–1
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
(1 last)
- 30 Aug0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Maria Zarate 1619 · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1626
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Carlos Maria Zarate 0–1 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (1).
Statistics
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8 | 12.6-5.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Carlos Maria Zarate 0 – 1 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlos Maria Zarate 0–1 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 M15 Mar Del Plata | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Maria Zarate vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo?
Our model gives 66% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.