Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 22/09, 09:30
Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Alexander Petrov
Team pages: Alejandro Garcia · Alexander Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Garcia
Alexander Petrov
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Petrov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1532 · Alexander Petrov 1458
| Alejandro Garcia | Alexander Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1532 vs 1458).
- Note: Alexander Petrov makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Garcia | Alexander Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.1 | 8.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 25.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Xavi Palomar M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Marc Ros Mesas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alexander Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Eli Stephenson M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Logan Zapp M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Liam Krall M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Jacob Brumm M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ronald Hohmann M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Kelly Giese M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Alexander Petrov?
Our model gives 62% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.