Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 25/09, 13:30
Prediction: Sander Jong vs Ioannis Xilas
Team pages: Sander Jong · Ioannis Xilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Sander Jong
Ioannis Xilas
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sander Jong
9-1 (W-L)
Ioannis Xilas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sander Jong 1608 · Ioannis Xilas 1542
| Sander Jong | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1608 vs 1542).
- Sander Jong is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Ioannis Xilas makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sander Jong | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-4.6 | 12.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Kuzey Cekirge M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Carles Rojas M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Deney Wassermann M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sander Jong vs Ioannis Xilas?
Our model gives 67% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.