Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 25/09, 12:30
Prediction: Lilian Marmousez vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Team pages: Lilian Marmousez · Luka Talan Lopatic
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Marmousez
Luka Talan Lopatic
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Marmousez
7-3 (W-L)
Luka Talan Lopatic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Marmousez 1573 · Luka Talan Lopatic 1536
| Lilian Marmousez | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lilian Marmousez | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.2 | 11.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Marmousez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Bruno Pujol Navarro M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Matias Reyniak M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Mate Valkusz M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/09 | John Sperle M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 09/09 | Ben Weintraub M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Guillermo Tunas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Simon Pfau UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Amadatus Admiraal M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tomas Quesada Perez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Junxiong Dong M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Belda M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Marmousez vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Our model gives 72% to Lilian Marmousez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.