Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 25/09, 12:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Gerard Campana Lee
Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Gerard Campana Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Giustino
Gerard Campana Lee
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino
6-4 (W-L)
Gerard Campana Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Giustino
1–1
Gerard Campana Lee
(2 last)
- 03 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 27 Nov1-2 10-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1580 · Gerard Campana Lee 1549
| Lorenzo Giustino | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lorenzo Giustino makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.1 | 12.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Lorenzo Giustino 1 – 1 Gerard Campana Lee (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Giustino 1–1 Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/25 ITF M25 Zaragoza | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/11/23 Challenger Maspalomas | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Filip Pieczonka M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Gerard Campana Lee?
Our model gives 56% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.