Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 22/09, 08:30
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1608 · Kenta Miyoshi 1508
| Lloyd Harris | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1608 vs 1508).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 62% break avg.
- Note: Kenta Miyoshi makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.1-12.9 | 12.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 57% |
| Break % | 62% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.3
Over 21.5: 66% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 34% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 30/08 | Jack Kennedy US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Henrique Rocha US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Bernard Tomic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 71% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.