Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1489 · Yi Zhou 1489
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 8 aces and 40.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.3 | 11.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 75% |
| Break % | 25.7% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.9
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 44% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 27/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
Yi Zhou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 62% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.