Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino
Team pages: Juncheng Shang · Adrian Mannarino
Prediction summary
Winner
Juncheng Shang
Adrian Mannarino
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juncheng Shang
6-4 (W-L)
Adrian Mannarino
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juncheng Shang
0–1
Adrian Mannarino
(1 last)
- 23 Mar1-2 12-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juncheng Shang 1441 · Adrian Mannarino 1461
| Juncheng Shang | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juncheng Shang 0–1 Adrian Mannarino (1).
Statistics
| Juncheng Shang | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.8 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-14.7 | 11-13.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 71% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.80
H2H · Juncheng Shang 0 – 1 Adrian Mannarino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juncheng Shang 0–1 Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/23 ATP Miami | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juncheng Shang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-20 | L |
| 14/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Kei Nishikori ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Doha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/01 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 19/01 | Roberto Bautista-Agut Australian Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Dan Added Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexander Bublik US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-21 | W |
| 26/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Learner Tien ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model gives 59% to Juncheng Shang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.