Tennis · WTA Singapore · 23/09, 05:00
Prediction: Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Mirra Andreeva · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Mirra Andreeva
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mirra Andreeva
8-2 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mirra Andreeva
1–0
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(1 last)
- 23 Jul2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirra Andreeva 1564 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1494
| Mirra Andreeva | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1564 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Mirra Andreeva 1–0 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (1).
- Note: Mirra Andreeva makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Aliaksandra Sasnovich makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mirra Andreeva | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.1 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.9
Over 18.5: 69% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 31% · 1.72
H2H · Mirra Andreeva 1 – 0 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirra Andreeva 1–0 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/24 WTA Iasi | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Janice Tjen US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 75% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.