Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 21/09, 15:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
0–3
Hugo Dellien
(3 last)
- 19 Jan1-2 16-17L
- 08 Jul1-2 13-15L
- 29 Nov0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1511 · Hugo Dellien 1529
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–3 Hugo Dellien (3).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.1 | 10.8-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 3 Hugo Dellien (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–3 Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/26 Challenger Itajai | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/07/25 Challenger Iasi | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/11/21 Challenger Sao Paulo | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Remy Bertola Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Moez Echargui US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 58% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.