Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 21/09, 15:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Ivan Justo
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Guido Ivan Justo
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Guido Ivan Justo
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
7-3 (W-L)
Guido Ivan Justo
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva
3–4
Guido Ivan Justo
(7 last)
- 24 Feb0-2 10-14L
- 28 Apr0-2 11-14L
- 03 Feb0-2 8-12L
- 19 Apr1-2 12-18L
- 11 Oct2-0 12-0W
- 04 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 19 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1579 · Guido Ivan Justo 1495
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Villanueva (rating 1579 vs 1495).
- Gonzalo Villanueva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 3–4 Guido Ivan Justo (7).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.3 | 10-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 3 – 4 Guido Ivan Justo (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 3–4 Guido Ivan Justo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Challenger Tigre | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/04/25 Challenger Porto Alegre | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/02/25 Challenger Rosario | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/04/23 Challenger Florianopolis | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/10/18 ITF Peru F3 | 2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/10/18 ITF Peru F2 | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09/18 ITF Argentina F6 | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Felipe De Dios M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Guido Ivan Justo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Ivan Justo?
Our model gives 52% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.