Tennis · WTA Singapore · 21/09, 12:30
Prediction: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Annie Fernandez
Team pages: Kyoka Okamura · Leylah Annie Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyoka Okamura
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Estimated games
19.7Bet365 line 16.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyoka Okamura
3-7 (W-L)
Leylah Annie Fernandez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyoka Okamura 1449 · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1521
| Kyoka Okamura | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1449 vs 1521).
- Leylah Annie Fernandez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kyoka Okamura | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-11.4 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7 · Bet365 line 16.5 · +3.2
Over 16.5: 71% · 1.83
Under 16.5: 29% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyoka Okamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/09 | Eva Marie Desvignes WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Varvara Panshina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Shuai Zhang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Magda Linette WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Annie Fernandez?
Our model gives 79% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.