Tennis · WTA Singapore · 21/09, 06:30
Prediction: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibino
Team pages: Kristina Mladenovic · Nao Hibino
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Mladenovic
Nao Hibino
Estimated games
20.6Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Mladenovic
3-7 (W-L)
Nao Hibino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kristina Mladenovic
4–1
Nao Hibino
(5 last)
- 21 Aug1-2 14-15L
- 15 May2-1 18-12W
- 11 Feb2-0 13-6W
- 13 Oct2-0 13-8W
- 30 Aug2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Mladenovic 1416 · Nao Hibino 1559
| Kristina Mladenovic | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Hibino (rating 1416 vs 1559).
- Nao Hibino is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kristina Mladenovic 4–1 Nao Hibino (5).
- Note: Kristina Mladenovic makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Mladenovic | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-13.6 | 10.5-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.1
Over 18.5: 64% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 36% · 1.90
H2H · Kristina Mladenovic 4 – 1 Nao Hibino (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristina Mladenovic 4–1 Nao Hibino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/24 US Open Women | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/05/24 WTA Paris | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/02/21 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/10/16 WTA Hong Kong | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08/16 US Open 2016 Women | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Mladenovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Elvina Kalieva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Carmen Andreea Herea Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Mary Stoiana WTA Charleston · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/02 | Yidi Yang WTA Les Sables d'Olonne · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/01 | Chloe Paquet Australian Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/01 | Sinja Kraus WTA Auckland · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Nao Hibino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Aoi Ito WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/09 | Magdalena Frech WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nadiia Kichenok WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Sofiia Bielinska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Anna Siskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Janae Preston US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibino?
Our model gives 76% to Nao Hibino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.