Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 20/09, 16:30

Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Santiago Pesino

Team pages: Thiago Cigarran · Santiago Pesino

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Thiago Cigarran Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWLL
Santiago Pesino 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1494 · Santiago Pesino 1478
Thiago CigarranSantiago Pesino
Our model52%48%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Thiago CigarranSantiago Pesino
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)12.6-10.59.6-9.3
Aces1.60.6
Double faults2.63.6
1st serve %64.9%59.7%
Break %55.1%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thiago Cigarran

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
04/09 Karim Bennani
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
03/09 Idriss Haddouch
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Frazier Rengifo
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/08 Jannik Maute
M15 Allershausen
1-2 16-14 L
28/08 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M15 Allershausen
2-1 14-11 W
27/08 Frederic Schlossmann
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Allershausen
2-1 17-13 W
18/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/08 Luca Wiedenmann
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 14-13 W

Santiago Pesino

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Ian Vertberger
M15 Trelew
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Lautaro Correa Beguerie
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 2-12 L
17/08 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 10-11 L
12/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Nicolas Baena
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 8-9 W
22/07 Salvador Price
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 13-15 L
21/07 Bautista De La Pena
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-3 W
20/07 Felipe Mifano Pinto
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-4 W
13/07 Tomas Jordi Leston
M15 Villa Constitucion
1-2 12-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Santiago Pesino?

Our model gives 67% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.