Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Bruno Fernandez vs Dante Pagani

Team pages: Bruno Fernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Bruno Fernandez Dante Pagani
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Bruno Fernandez 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWL
Dante Pagani 2-8 (W-L)
WWLLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bruno Fernandez 1479 · Dante Pagani 1441
Bruno FernandezDante Pagani
Our model55%45%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Bruno FernandezDante Pagani
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.10.7-1.6
Games (G-P)9.5-9.79.3-11.9
Aces1.81
Double faults1.33.1
1st serve %66.7%56.6%
Break %52.3%37.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bruno Fernandez

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Mate Valkusz
M15 Budapest
0-2 3-12 L
10/09 Trisztan Gubi
M15 Budapest
2-0 12-5 W
05/09 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Meerbusch
0-2 9-13 L
04/09 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Ruben Hartig
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Vincent Dullinger
M25 Meerbusch
1-1 7-10 L
25/08 Hazem Naw
M15 Allershausen
1-2 10-15 L
18/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 10-13 L
13/08 Niklas Schell
M15 Trier
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Luca Castagnola
M15 Trier
2-0 12-6 W

Dante Pagani

LLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/05 Herman Hoeyeraal
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
30/04 Lucio Ratti
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/04 Valentin Garay
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
25/03 Rocco Valente
M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
17/02 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Tigre · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
02/02 Santiago De La Fuente
Challenger Rosario · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
21/01 Valentin Basel
M25 Santiago
0-2 12-14 L
13/01 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/11 Bautista Vilicich
ITF M15 Olavarria · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
22/11 Lautaro Agustin Falabella
ITF M15 Olavarria · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bruno Fernandez vs Dante Pagani?

Our model gives 65% to Bruno Fernandez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.