Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Ryan Dickerson

Team pages: Federico Aguilar Cardozo · Ryan Dickerson

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Federico Aguilar Cardozo Ryan Dickerson
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Aguilar Cardozo 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Ryan Dickerson 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Aguilar Cardozo 1516 · Ryan Dickerson 1432
Federico Aguilar CardozoRyan Dickerson
Our model62%38%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Aguilar Cardozo (rating 1516 vs 1432).
  • Federico Aguilar Cardozo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Ryan Dickerson makes many double faults (7.8/match).

Statistics

Federico Aguilar CardozoRyan Dickerson
Win %60%20%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.5-1.6
Games (G-P)10.1-9.87.3-10.5
Aces0.72.4
Double faults27.8
1st serve %57.3%63.1%
Break %38.3%54.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Aguilar Cardozo

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew
0-2 5-13 L
02/09 Nicolas Villalon
M15 Trelew
2-1 20-17 W
02/09 Nicolas Alberto Jara Lozano
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-5 W
27/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 1-9 L
13/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/08 Rodrigo Alujas
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
10/08 Andre Souza
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Ryan Dickerson

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
M15 Belem
0-1 6-7 L
11/09 Joao Goncalves
M15 Leme
1-2 8-9 L
08/09 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Leme
2-1 15-9 W
09/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Naoya Honda
M25 Southaven
0-2 7-13 L
29/07 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/05 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
11/05 Juan Ignacio Gallego
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
07/05 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Ryan Dickerson?

Our model gives 59% to Federico Aguilar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.