Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 20/09, 16:30
Prediction: Valerio Aboian vs Julian Cundom
Team pages: Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Valerio Aboian
Julian Cundom
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valerio Aboian
5-5 (W-L)
Julian Cundom
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerio Aboian 1552 · Julian Cundom 1463
| Valerio Aboian | Julian Cundom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerio Aboian (rating 1552 vs 1463).
- Valerio Aboian is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Valerio Aboian | Julian Cundom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.2 | 8.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Julian Cundom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Andrea Collarini Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mateo Carballo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Lautaro Rocha M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Ezequiel Monferrer M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/04 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 11/04 | Lautaro Rocha UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Sean Hess UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Petr Iamachkine UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerio Aboian vs Julian Cundom?
Our model gives 76% to Valerio Aboian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.