Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 20/09, 19:30
Prediction: Fermin Tenti vs Mariano Kestelboim
Team pages: Fermin Tenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Fermin Tenti
Mariano Kestelboim
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Fermin Tenti
5-5 (W-L)
Mariano Kestelboim
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fermin Tenti
0–2
Mariano Kestelboim
(2 last)
- 24 Apr0-2 8-13L
- 28 Sept1-2 13-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fermin Tenti 1479 · Mariano Kestelboim 1438
| Fermin Tenti | Mariano Kestelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fermin Tenti (rating 1479 vs 1438).
- Head-to-head: Fermin Tenti 0–2 Mariano Kestelboim (2).
Statistics
| Fermin Tenti | Mariano Kestelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10 | 9.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 64.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Fermin Tenti 0 – 2 Mariano Kestelboim (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fermin Tenti 0–2 Mariano Kestelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/25 Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09/23 M25 Lujan | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fermin Tenti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jan Kupcic M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Preston Brown M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Mariano Kestelboim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 14/04 | Matias Soto Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Facundo Mena Challenger Concepcion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Mateus Alves Challenger Concepcion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/11 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/11 | Juan Pablo Irigoin Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Lima 2 · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fermin Tenti vs Mariano Kestelboim?
Our model gives 62% to Mariano Kestelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.