Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 21/09, 15:00
Prediction: Murkel Dellien vs Hernan Casanova
Team pages: Murkel Dellien · Hernan Casanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Murkel Dellien
Hernan Casanova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Murkel Dellien
2-8 (W-L)
Hernan Casanova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Murkel Dellien
0–5
Hernan Casanova
(5 last)
- 08 May0-2 2-12L
- 23 Jan0-2 2-12L
- 10 Sept0-2 4-12L
- 04 Sept0-2 7-12L
- 19 Aug0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murkel Dellien 1420 · Hernan Casanova 1510
| Murkel Dellien | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hernan Casanova (rating 1420 vs 1510).
- Head-to-head: Murkel Dellien 0–5 Hernan Casanova (5).
Statistics
| Murkel Dellien | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.8 | 10.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 29.4% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Murkel Dellien 0 – 5 Hernan Casanova (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murkel Dellien 0–5 Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Challenger Santos | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/01/23 Challenger Concepcion | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/09/22 M25 Maribor | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09/22 M25 Maribor | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08/22 M25 Koksijde | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murkel Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jack Loge M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Jip Van Assendelft M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Jose Pereira M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Victor Bini M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murkel Dellien vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 67% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.