Tennis · WTA Singapore · 21/09, 06:00
Prediction: Maria Sakkari vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Team pages: Maria Sakkari · Linda Fruhvirtova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sakkari
Linda Fruhvirtova
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Linda Fruhvirtova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Sakkari
1–0
Linda Fruhvirtova
(1 last)
- 03 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sakkari 1533 · Linda Fruhvirtova 1490
| Maria Sakkari | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sakkari (rating 1533 vs 1490).
- Head-to-head: Maria Sakkari 1–0 Linda Fruhvirtova (1).
- Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sakkari | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.9 | 11.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 8.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.1
Over 19.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Maria Sakkari 1 – 0 Linda Fruhvirtova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Sakkari 1–0 Linda Fruhvirtova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/23 WTA Beijing | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Linda Fruhvirtova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Aoi Ito W50 Evora |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Raphaelle Lacasse W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Carson Branstine US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Polina Kudermetova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sakkari vs Linda Fruhvirtova?
Our model gives 65% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.