Tennis · WTA Singapore · 21/09, 06:00
Prediction: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Daria Kasatkina · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Kasatkina
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Kasatkina
2-8 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daria Kasatkina
5–3
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(8 last)
- 24 Mar0-2 10-13L
- 18 Mar2-1 18-16W
- 22 Feb2-1 17-9W
- 08 Jan0-2 5-12L
- 30 Aug0-2 8-13L
- 19 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 15 Aug2-0 12-6W
- 16 Apr2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Kasatkina 1476 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1467
| Daria Kasatkina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daria Kasatkina 5–3 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (8).
- Note: Daria Kasatkina makes many double faults (8.7/match).
- Note: Aliaksandra Sasnovich makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Daria Kasatkina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.8 | 12.2-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 8.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.80
H2H · Daria Kasatkina 5 – 3 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (8)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Kasatkina 5–3 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/22 WTA Miami | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/03/21 WTA St. Petersburg | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/02/20 WTA Doha | 2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 08/01/19 WTA Sydney | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08/18 US Open Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10/17 WTA Moscow | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08/17 WTA Cincinnati | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04/16 Billie Jean King Cup | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Kasatkina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Paula Badosa US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Xinyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Mingge Xu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 52% to Daria Kasatkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.