Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Chiara Fornasieri vs Barbara Dessolis
Team pages: Chiara Fornasieri · Barbara Dessolis
Prediction summary
Winner
Chiara Fornasieri
Barbara Dessolis
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chiara Fornasieri
6-4 (W-L)
Barbara Dessolis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chiara Fornasieri 1514 · Barbara Dessolis 1459
| Chiara Fornasieri | Barbara Dessolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Fornasieri (rating 1514 vs 1459).
Statistics
| Chiara Fornasieri | Barbara Dessolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.8 | 9.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chiara Fornasieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Barbara Dessolis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Sara Mikaca W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Romane Longueville W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Aurora Nosei W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Lingling Zhu W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/05 | Carlotta Bassotti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Dunja Maric W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Julia Stusek W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/04 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chiara Fornasieri vs Barbara Dessolis?
Our model gives 69% to Chiara Fornasieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.