Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 13/09, 16:30
Prediction: Denny Bao vs Adrien Jonah Abarca
Team pages: Denny Bao · Adrien Jonah Abarca
Prediction summary
Winner
Denny Bao
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Denny Bao
5-5 (W-L)
Adrien Jonah Abarca
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denny Bao 1473 · Adrien Jonah Abarca 1389
| Denny Bao | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denny Bao (rating 1473 vs 1389).
- Denny Bao is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Denny Bao | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.7 | 5.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 23.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denny Bao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Jacob Brisky UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Woodson Mcmillin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denny Bao vs Adrien Jonah Abarca?
Our model gives 72% to Denny Bao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.