Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: Jose Garcia vs Leo Pade
Team pages: Leo Pade
Prediction summary
Winner
Jose Garcia
Leo Pade
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Garcia
8-2 (W-L)
Leo Pade
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jose Garcia 1638 · Leo Pade 1559
| Jose Garcia | Leo Pade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jose Garcia (rating 1638 vs 1559).
- Jose Garcia dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 50.7% break avg.
- Jose Garcia is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jose Garcia | Leo Pade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-9 | 11.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 82.7% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jose Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Dmitry Kopilevich UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Woodson Mcmillin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Matei Cristian Onofrei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Justin Riley Anson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Mitchell Sheldon UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Leo Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Parker Mariencheck UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Iker Urribarrens UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jose Garcia vs Leo Pade?
Our model gives 71% to Jose Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.