Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 13/09, 16:30
Prediction: Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas vs Birtan Duran
Team pages: Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas · Birtan Duran
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Birtan Duran
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
6-4 (W-L)
Birtan Duran
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas 1558 · Birtan Duran 1469
| Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | Birtan Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas (rating 1558 vs 1469).
- Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | Birtan Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.4 | 9.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Carlos V F Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 18/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Rodrigo Cruz M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Luiz Felipe Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
Birtan Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Matei Cristian Onofrei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 23/08 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Clement Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Photos Photiades UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas vs Birtan Duran?
Our model gives 72% to Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.