Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Jose Garcia vs Pepijn Bastiaansen
Team pages: Jose Garcia · Pepijn Bastiaansen
Prediction summary
Winner
Jose Garcia
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Garcia
9-1 (W-L)
Pepijn Bastiaansen
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jose Garcia 1642 · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1573
| Jose Garcia | Pepijn Bastiaansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jose Garcia (rating 1642 vs 1573).
- Jose Garcia dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 59% break avg.
- Jose Garcia is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jose Garcia | Pepijn Bastiaansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-7.8 | 11.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 82.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 59% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jose Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Dmitry Kopilevich UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Woodson Mcmillin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Matei Cristian Onofrei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Justin Riley Anson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Gerch M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Ben Patrick Ostheimer M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jose Garcia vs Pepijn Bastiaansen?
Our model gives 69% to Jose Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.