Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 12/09, 19:30

Prediction: Alan Bojarski vs Shion Itsusaki

Team pages: Alan Bojarski · Shion Itsusaki

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Alan Bojarski Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Bojarski 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWLW
Shion Itsusaki 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alan Bojarski 1452 · Shion Itsusaki 1441
Alan BojarskiShion Itsusaki
Our model52%48%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alan BojarskiShion Itsusaki
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.8-1.5
Games (G-P)9.8-10.39.6-12.4
Aces1.62
Double faults2.62.7
1st serve %67%63.6%
Break %48.7%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alan Bojarski

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Aleksandr Kalinin
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
10/09 Diego Duran
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
09/09 Birtan Duran
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
07/09 Adrien Jonah Abarca
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
08/07 Jan Chlodnicki
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Mikolaj Borkowski
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-2 W
27/05 Mikhail Khodorchenko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
26/11 Matyas Fuele
ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard
0-2 7-11 L
20/11 Arthur Nagel
ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Shion Itsusaki

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Alejandro Moreno
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
09/09 Leo Pade
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
07/09 Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/07 Yuga Tashiro
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 Naoto Tomizawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
15/07 Penn Charusorn
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
14/07 Jonathan Irwanto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
13/07 Shingo Masuda
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
24/06 Masaki Tonaka
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Toshiki Karigyo
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alan Bojarski vs Shion Itsusaki?

Our model gives 66% to Alan Bojarski, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.