Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 13/09, 14:00
Prediction: Jay Friend vs Max Basing
Team pages: Jay Friend · Max Basing
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Friend
Max Basing
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Friend
4-6 (W-L)
Max Basing
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Friend 1566 · Max Basing 1578
| Jay Friend | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Jay Friend | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11 | 11.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Atakan Karahan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Friend vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 51% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.