Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 12/09, 11:30
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Jay Friend
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Jay Friend
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1525 · Jay Friend 1534
| Maks Kasnikowski | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.9 | 11-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Philip Henning Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 50% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.