Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 11/09, 10:00

Prediction: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

Team pages: Max Basing · Edas Butvilas

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Max Basing Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Basing 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Edas Butvilas 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Basing 1546 · Edas Butvilas 1582
Max BasingEdas Butvilas
Our model45%55%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Edas Butvilas dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 51.7% break avg.
  • Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Max BasingEdas Butvilas
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.7-0.8
Games (G-P)11.5-1014.6-11.1
Aces1.26.4
Double faults42.2
1st serve %70.2%74.6%
Break %37.2%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Basing

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/09 Atakan Karahan
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
01/09 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
27/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Alec Deckers
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 13-16 W
24/08 Christian Langmo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
05/08 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/08 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
30/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 14-13 L

Edas Butvilas

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
08/09 Gabriel Ghetu
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/09 Luca Potenza
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
03/09 Remy Bertola
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
13/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
11/08 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
09/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
08/08 Dusan Lajovic
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
07/08 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 17-17 W
06/08 Ozan Baris
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas?

Our model gives 60% to Edas Butvilas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.