Tennis · M15 Budapest · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Kirill Kivattsev
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Kirill Kivattsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Kirill Kivattsev
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Kirill Kivattsev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1522 · Kirill Kivattsev 1509
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.5 | 12.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Marko Retelj M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Castagnola M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Gabriele Mellerio M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Wels |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Kirill Kivattsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Ganchev M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Bengt Johan Reinhard M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Kirill Kivattsev?
Our model gives 67% to Kirill Kivattsev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.