Tennis · M15 Budapest · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Vladislav Melnic vs Kirill Kivattsev
Team pages: Kirill Kivattsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Vladislav Melnic
Kirill Kivattsev
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vladislav Melnic
1-9 (W-L)
Kirill Kivattsev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladislav Melnic 1383 · Kirill Kivattsev 1482
| Vladislav Melnic | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kirill Kivattsev (rating 1383 vs 1482).
- Kirill Kivattsev is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Vladislav Melnic | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-13.2 | 12.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 56% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladislav Melnic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Robert Guna M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Uladzimir Ignatik M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Marcus Walters Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Kirill Kivattsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Ganchev M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Bengt Johan Reinhard M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladislav Melnic vs Kirill Kivattsev?
Our model gives 76% to Kirill Kivattsev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.