Tennis · M15 Budapest · 10/09, 11:30
Prediction: Heorhii Shylov vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Team pages: Heorhii Shylov · Gabriele Maria Noce
Prediction summary
Winner
Heorhii Shylov
Gabriele Maria Noce
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Heorhii Shylov
7-3 (W-L)
Gabriele Maria Noce
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heorhii Shylov 1529 · Gabriele Maria Noce 1521
| Heorhii Shylov | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabriele Maria Noce makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Heorhii Shylov | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.1 | 11.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heorhii Shylov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Budapest |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 29/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Huszar M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Florian Zimmer M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Nico Hipfl M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Gabriele Maria Noce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Pietro Marino M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Mirko Lagasio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | David Wallechner M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heorhii Shylov vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Our model gives 55% to Heorhii Shylov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.