Tennis · M15 Budapest · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Pietro Marino vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Team pages: Pietro Marino · Gabriele Maria Noce
Prediction summary
Winner
Pietro Marino
Gabriele Maria Noce
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Marino
8-2 (W-L)
Gabriele Maria Noce
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pietro Marino
2–0
Gabriele Maria Noce
(2 last)
- 17 Jul2-0 13-7W
- 18 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Marino 1514 · Gabriele Maria Noce 1510
| Pietro Marino | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pietro Marino 2–0 Gabriele Maria Noce (2).
- Note: Gabriele Maria Noce makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Pietro Marino | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 11.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Pietro Marino 2 – 0 Gabriele Maria Noce (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pietro Marino 2–0 Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 M15 Gubbio | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07/21 ITF M15 Perugia | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 02/09 | Matei Marius Partal M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Luca Parenti M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Gabriele Maria Noce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Mirko Lagasio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | David Wallechner M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Marino vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Our model gives 54% to Pietro Marino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

