Tennis · M15 Budapest · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Matei Todoran vs Orel Kimhi

Team pages: Orel Kimhi

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Matei Todoran Orel Kimhi
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matei Todoran 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWLWWWL
Orel Kimhi 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matei Todoran 1450 · Orel Kimhi 1607
Matei TodoranOrel Kimhi
Our model29%71%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orel Kimhi (rating 1450 vs 1607).
  • Orel Kimhi is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Matei TodoranOrel Kimhi
Win %30%80%
Win % · Hard 25% (8) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.7-0.4
Games (G-P)8.5-10.711.4-6.2
Aces5.90.5
Double faults3.21.5
1st serve %65.7%69.3%
Break %45.1%67.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matei Todoran

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Radu David Turcanu
M25 Bacau
0-2 6-12 L
23/07 Stefan Andrei
M25 Bacau
1-1 11-9 W
07/01 Michalis Sakellaridis
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
06/01 Valentin De Carvalho
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/01 Yannik Kelm
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/12 Aldin Setkic
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-5 W
03/12 Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/11 Karim Bennani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/11 Mika Petkovic
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/10 Josip Simundza
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 16-16 L

Orel Kimhi

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Zsombor Velcz
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/07 Giulio Perego
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Connor Doig
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
16/07 Preston Brown
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
14/07 Cooper McCarthy
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
03/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
02/07 Allan Gatoto
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Simphiwe Ngwenya
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Philip Henning
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
01/06 Marc Van Der Merwe
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matei Todoran vs Orel Kimhi?

Our model gives 77% to Orel Kimhi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.