Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 10/09, 09:00
Prediction: Max Basing vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Max Basing · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Basing
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Max Basing
7-3 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Basing 1549 · Mert Alkaya 1545
| Max Basing | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Max Basing | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.5 | 10.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 34% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Atakan Karahan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Basing vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 58% to Max Basing, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.