Tennis · M15 Budapest · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Vincent Dullinger vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Team pages: Vincent Dullinger · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Prediction summary
Winner
Vincent Dullinger
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Vincent Dullinger
5-5 (W-L)
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vincent Dullinger 1534 · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1477
| Vincent Dullinger | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vincent Dullinger (rating 1534 vs 1477).
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Vincent Dullinger | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 8.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vincent Dullinger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Jure Siftar M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Meerbusch |
1-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Arian Barbic M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Neo Niedner M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Ammar Elamin M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Raphael Perot M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Marko Retelj M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Castagnola M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Gabriele Mellerio M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Wels |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vincent Dullinger vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Our model gives 62% to Vincent Dullinger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.