Tennis · M15 Budapest · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lilian Marmousez vs Ben Weintraub
Team pages: Lilian Marmousez
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Marmousez
Ben Weintraub
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Marmousez
6-4 (W-L)
Ben Weintraub
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Marmousez 1554 · Ben Weintraub 1482
| Lilian Marmousez | Ben Weintraub | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilian Marmousez (rating 1554 vs 1482).
- Lilian Marmousez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ben Weintraub makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Lilian Marmousez | Ben Weintraub | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.1 | 10.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 67% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Marmousez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Guillermo Tunas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Simon Pfau UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Amadatus Admiraal M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Taro Daniel Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ben Weintraub
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Jules Leroux M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Alex Finkelstein M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Zuckerman M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Luke Bracks UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Craig Klein UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/10 | Alejandro M Kretzer UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Nicolas Kobelt UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Oscar Lacides UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Marmousez vs Ben Weintraub?
Our model gives 76% to Lilian Marmousez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.