Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 09/09, 09:00
Prediction: Vadym Ursu vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Team pages: Vadym Ursu · Dimitar Kuzmanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Vadym Ursu
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Vadym Ursu
4-6 (W-L)
Dimitar Kuzmanov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vadym Ursu
0–2
Dimitar Kuzmanov
(2 last)
- 07 Jun1-2 9-16L
- 25 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vadym Ursu 1466 · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1598
| Vadym Ursu | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kuzmanov (rating 1466 vs 1598).
- Dimitar Kuzmanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vadym Ursu 0–2 Dimitar Kuzmanov (2).
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Vadym Ursu | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.8 | 13.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Vadym Ursu 0 – 2 Dimitar Kuzmanov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vadym Ursu 0–2 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Challenger Bratislava | 1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/10/16 ITF Turkey F43 | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Jose Freitas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Aadarsh Tripathi M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vadym Ursu vs Dimitar Kuzmanov?
Our model gives 70% to Dimitar Kuzmanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.