Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Samir Hamza Reguig · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Samir Hamza Reguig
Jay Friend
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Samir Hamza Reguig
5-5 (W-L)
Jay Friend
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samir Hamza Reguig 1524 · Jay Friend 1522
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.8 | 11.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 25.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samir Hamza Reguig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Emirhan Bulut Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Poprad |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Robert Guna M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M25 Bacau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Jay Friend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 71% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.