Tennis · M15 Wuning · 09/09, 04:00
Prediction: Ryo Minakata vs Yuta Tomida
Team pages: Ryo Minakata
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryo Minakata
Yuta Tomida
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ryo Minakata
6-4 (W-L)
Yuta Tomida
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryo Minakata
0–2
Yuta Tomida
(2 last)
- 15 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 29 Nov0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryo Minakata 1483 · Yuta Tomida 1589
| Ryo Minakata | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Tomida (rating 1483 vs 1589).
- Head-to-head: Ryo Minakata 0–2 Yuta Tomida (2).
Statistics
| Ryo Minakata | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.8 | 10.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Ryo Minakata 0 – 2 Yuta Tomida (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryo Minakata 0–2 Yuta Tomida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/26 M15 Wuning | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/11/24 UTR Pro Yokohama | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryo Minakata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Lin Hao-Yu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Zhengyu Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Azuma Visaya M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Matt Kleiman M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Oliver Wilcox M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Andrej Martin M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Yuta Tomida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryo Minakata vs Yuta Tomida?
Our model gives 75% to Yuta Tomida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.