Tennis · M15 Wuning · 12/09, 04:00
Prediction: Jaesung Choe vs Hiromasa Koyama
Team pages: Jaesung Choe · Hiromasa Koyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaesung Choe
Hiromasa Koyama
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jaesung Choe
6-4 (W-L)
Hiromasa Koyama
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaesung Choe 1534 · Hiromasa Koyama 1558
| Jaesung Choe | Hiromasa Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Hiromasa Koyama makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Jaesung Choe | Hiromasa Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.4 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaesung Choe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Shijie Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Mattias Southcombe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hiromasa Koyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Yue Xia M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lachlan Vickery M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaesung Choe vs Hiromasa Koyama?
Our model gives 64% to Hiromasa Koyama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.