Tennis · M15 Wuning · 11/09, 04:00

Prediction: Geun Jun Kim vs Yuquan Jin

Team pages: Geun Jun Kim · Yuquan Jin

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Geun Jun Kim Yuquan Jin
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Geun Jun Kim 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLWL
Yuquan Jin 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Geun Jun Kim 1543 · Yuquan Jin 1488
Geun Jun KimYuquan Jin
Our model58%42%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geun Jun Kim (rating 1543 vs 1488).
  • Yuquan Jin dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44% break avg.
  • Note: Yuquan Jin makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Geun Jun KimYuquan Jin
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.2-1.4
Games (G-P)11.1-11.111.1-11.5
Aces0.66
Double faults2.14.8
1st serve %60%71.6%
Break %36.6%44%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geun Jun Kim

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Xiaoyin Yang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
09/09 Lachlan Vickery
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/09 Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/09 Harrison Satara
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
03/09 Alex Jones
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Jaesung Choe
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
19/08 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 11-17 L
06/08 Isaac Becroft
M15 Tianjin
1-2 12-17 L
04/08 James Van Herzeele
M15 Tianjin
2-1 18-16 W
08/07 Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-1 3-6 L

Yuquan Jin

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Stefan Vujic
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
09/09 Xirui Han
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
02/09 Xiaoyin Yang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
18/08 Xin Zhou
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 12-9 L
11/08 Adrian Arcon
M15 Tianjin
0-1 1-6 L
17/07 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-9 L
16/07 Duckhee Lee
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
15/07 Zicong Wang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Xing Dao Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L
03/06 Zhao Zhao
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 16-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geun Jun Kim vs Yuquan Jin?

Our model gives 68% to Geun Jun Kim, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.