Tennis · M15 Wuning · 10/09, 05:30

Prediction: Zhao Zhao vs Maksim Shin

Team pages: Zhao Zhao · Maksim Shin

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Zhao Zhao Maksim Shin
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zhao Zhao 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLW
Maksim Shin 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhao Zhao 1529 · Maksim Shin 1453
Zhao ZhaoMaksim Shin
Our model61%39%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhao Zhao (rating 1529 vs 1453).
  • Zhao Zhao is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Maksim Shin makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Zhao ZhaoMaksim Shin
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11-1.5
Games (G-P)10.8-9.510.7-12.2
Aces5.72
Double faults2.46
1st serve %69.6%66.3%
Break %36.1%34.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhao Zhao

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Shixun Zhu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Uisung Park
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Zhenxiong Dong
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 10-9 W
16/07 Shu Muto
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 12-11 L
15/07 Minghui Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
02/07 Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Ye Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Joshua Charlton
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
23/06 Zijiang Yang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Maksim Shin

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Harrison Satara
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
02/09 Miles Jones
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 9-16 L
02/07 Alessandro Coccioli
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
30/06 Cagan Efe Tufekci
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Udit Kamboj
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Dev Javia
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/05 Yanki Erel
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/05 Jack McGary
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
20/05 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
14/05 Daniil Sarksian
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhao Zhao vs Maksim Shin?

Our model gives 57% to Zhao Zhao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.